Metro playoff scenarios (2 games left)
October 13, 2008

Don't look now, but Metro can clinch a playoff berth this weekend. Oh, it's a long shot, and they will need help from three other teams, but it's not entirely impossible. Here's what needs to happen:

  • Metro needs to beat Columbus AND
  • DC needs to lose or tie New England AND
  • The Salt Lake vs Dallas match does not end in a draw AND
  • Colorado needs to lose or tie Chivas USA

    DC hosts New England Thursday, so at least one card might fall by the time Metro kicks off Saturday.

    Metro did get a series of good results from other teams this weekend, except for Kansas City's victory over New England. With the win, the Wiz tied Metro on points, and jumped over them on the head-to-head tiebreaker. So Metro is now in the last wildcard spot, one point up on Dallas, and two points up on Colorado and DC.

    The Salt Lake vs Dallas match is a curious situation. If Metro is to win and Dallas is to lose, they will no longer be able to catch NY, so that scenario works. If Metro is to win and Salt Lake is to lose, RSL would fall out of third in the West and into the wild card area. At that point, the best they can do is tie NY, but Metro owns the tiebreaker (in case of multiple teams tying, RSL loses tiebreakers to all other contenders, so that works as well). So this scenario works as well, and the only case which will allow both Dallas and RSL to catch NY in case of a Metro win is a draw between the two.

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